Florida's ferociously negative race for governor has come down to the wire. Republican Gov. Rick Scott and Democratic rival Charlie Crist are locked in a dead heat.
According to a new Bay News 9/Tampa Bay Times/UF Graham Center poll, Crist has made up 6 points since late August to pull even with Scott with 40 percent support. Libertarian Adrian Wylie received 6 percent support in the state-wide poll, while undecided voters were down 2 points to 7 percent.
The numbers are not surprising, since other recent polls have shown the race being even or near even. But the new poll includes data that Dr. Chris McCarty, director of the University of Florida Survey Research Center, said could point to a Scott victory Nov. 4.
For the first time, respondents were asked who they think will win the race. A hefty majority - 48 percent to 34 - said they believe Scott will hold onto to the office.
"The reason I asked this is I saw a report from the (United Kingdom) where this has actually been a better way of predicting an outcome," McCarty said, citing the recent UK election in which Scotland voted against becoming an independent country.
Breaking the numbers down further, 74 percent of Republicans surveyed said they think Scott will win, but only 55 percent of Democrats expressed confidence Crist will prevail. Only 36 percent of independents said Scott will win.
Bay News 9 Republican political analyst Chris Ingram said he can see why the pollsters are giving weight to the numbers.
"When you start to pick that up at the water cooler or when you walk your dog down the street and talk to your neighbor ... it's a good indicator," said Ingram, a Republican. "It's not scientific, but that kind of anecdotal hunch, when measured in a survey, is a strong indicator."
Ana Cruz, Bay News 9's Democratic political analyst, admitted she was surprised by the "disparity in that number," but said Republicans "do a great job at not showing that they're scared or worried about their incumbent."
"They have an innate ability to talk about their wins and victories," she said. "Rick Scott is an incumbent governor here. Democrats need to understand at this point in the game that if they don't go to the polls, that they will not win this election."
Negative ads dominate race
The latest poll numbers again speak to an election in which most voters are apparently choosing the candidate they dislike the least.
Most surveyed said they don't trust either candidate. Only 32 percent said the phrase "honest and ethical" describes Scott (59 percent said no), while only 34 percent said yes to the same question about Crist (58 percent no). Half of the respondents said "provides leadership" describes Scott, while only 43 percent said the same about Crist.
Just 38 percent of those surveyed said Scott "understands the problems of people like me," while Crist picked up 45 percent on that question.
"These guys are both very much politicians, and people don't trust politicians, so it really shouldn't be much of a surprise that they don't have strong numbers when voters are asked in a survey about how they feel about them as being honest and ethical. Furthermore, if you were either one of these candidates, the fact the numbers are so close both on the favorable and unfavorable ... they're not concerned about it."
The distrust can easily be tied to some $72 million in mostly attack adds from both sides. Democrats repeatedly point to the Medicare fraud Scott oversaw as CEO of the Columbia/HCA health care company. Republicans have highlighted Crist's reversal of numerous positions since leaving the Republican party to first become an independent and then a Democrat.
Republicans also have run ads touting Crist's ties to President Obama, whose approval rating in Florida has fallen to 38 percent.
"I think both candidates have real strong credibility problems, and I think the polling showed this," said Graham Center Director Dr. David Colburn. "You'd have to go back, I think, Bob Martinez and the reaction to the services tax in his reelection campaign."
Martinez was Florida's governor from 1987 to 1991. Many Floridians soured on the Republican when he supported a sales tax on services, which the Florida Legislature passed and later repealed. Martinez also called on the Florida Legislature to pass pro-life laws, a move that dropped his approval rating to 24 percent.
Scott's approval rating falls
Crist fared better than Scott in approval rating, with 48 percent saying they approved of the job he did as governor from 2007 through 2010 and 41 percent saying they disapproved.
Scott's approval rating was 44 percent (49 percent disapproved), which was down a couple of points from the BN9/Times/Graham Center poll in late August.
McCarty said the negative ads are hurting Scott more than Crist, and that independent voters appear to be breaking for Crist. He suggests Crist has made some headway in debunking Scott's claim the economy is rebounding because of him.
The poll numbers seem to say so.
In the last Graham Center poll, 74 percent of those surveyed said they believed Florida's economy was recovering or will recover soon, and 71 percent said they believe the governor has a major impact on the economy. An near equal percentage of respondents expressed confidence about the economy this time, but 5 percent fewer said the governor "can do a lot about it."
"I think in the debate (last Saturday), there was a lot of discussion about the economy, and it was very much mirroring what we talked about in the last poll," McCarty said. "Scott is basically claiming credit for the recovery, as it were, and Crist deflected that and basically said he wasn't responsible. Maybe some of the independents just aren't believing the recovery is really a recovery (or) that Rick Scott is fully responsible for it."
Debates may decide it
Although many voters have already cast there ballots via mail-in voting, two televised debates between Scott and Crist remain. The first of those is set for Wednesday night at the Broward College campus in Davie, and with the race so close, anything significant could tip the scale.
Cruz said Crist "naturally has the edge" because of his "innate ability to connect with voters."
"His message of being the people's governor is working," Cruz said, pointing to Crist favoring an increase in minimum sage, which 57 percent of the poll respondents said they favor. "(Scott), in my opinion, will have to be something he's not, and that's charming, on top of taking Charlie to task on some of these issues."
But Ingram said Scott can win because he's better than the alternative.
"Among Republicans, I don't know of anyone who is super (enthused), or ever has been, about Rick Scott, but they're going to vote for him," he said. "Even if they have to pinch their nose ... it's the lesser of two evils. And within the Republican community, a lot of people really donb't like Charlie because of his turncoat issues and flip-flops and all of that stuff.
"And then Charlie, as a Democrat, he hasn't been one for that long. So there's not this real strength and groundswell. It's kind of like the old saying: His support is a mile wide and an inch deep because he hasn't been there that long."
The poll was conducted Oct. 7-12 via a telephone survey of 781 registered voters who are likely to vote in the election. It included land lines and cell phones, and results were weighted by age, party registration and media market. According to the Graham Center, it has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.2 percentage points.
Poll Results
If the election for governor were being held today, for whom would you vote?
CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Someone Else | Don't Know | Wouldn't Vote | Refused Answer | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ALL | 40% | 40% | 6% | 0% | 7% | 2% | 5% |
PARTY | CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Someone Else | Don't Know | Wouldn't Vote | Refused Answer |
Democrats | 67% | 14% | 4% | . | 7% | 3% | 5% |
Republicans | 11% | 72% | 5% | 0% | 6% | 2% | 3% |
Other | 16% | 25% | 32% | . | . | . | 26% |
Independents | 47% | 26% | 9% | . | 9% | 2% | 7% |
MEDIA MARKET | CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Someone Else | Don't Know | Wouldn't Vote | Refused Answer |
Fort Myers | 36% | 50% | 6% | . | 3% | . | 6% |
Jacksonville | 30% | 49% | 3% | . | 10% | 4% | 4% |
Miami | 57% | 25% | 6% | . | 6% | 2% | 6% |
Orlando | 34% | 44% | 9% | . | 9% | 2% | 3% |
Other | 34% | 47% | 4% | . | 9% | 3% | 4% |
Pensacola | 26% | 58% | . | . | 3% | 6% | 6% |
Tampa Bay | 42% | 38% | 6% | 0% | 6% | 2% | 4% |
West Palm Beach | 42% | 37% | 5% | . | 7% | 2% | 8% |
RACE | CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Someone Else | Don't Know | Wouldn't Vote | Refused Answer |
Other | 52% | 27% | 5% | . | 7% | . | 10% |
Black | 80% | 2% | 2% | . | 10% | 1% | 5% |
White | 34% | 46% | 6% | 0% | 7% | 2% | 4% |
HISPANIC | CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Someone Else | Don't Know | Wouldn't Vote | Refused Answer |
No | 40% | 41% | 6% | 0% | 6% | 2% | 4% |
Yes | 42% | 37% | 5% | . | 9% | 1% | 6% |
Don't Know | 32% | 12% | . | . | 34% | . | 22% |
Refused Answer | 59% | 16% | . | . | 13% | . | 12% |
GEOGRAPHIC AREA | CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Someone Else | Don't Know | Wouldn't Vote | Refused Answer |
South | 46% | 35% | 6% | 0% | 6% | 1% | 5% |
North | 33% | 47% | 5% | . | 9% | 3% | 4% |
Don't Know/Refused | 23% | 54% | . | . | . | 23% | . |
AGE GROUP | CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Someone Else | Don't Know | Wouldn't Vote | Refused Answer |
18–24 | 31% | 42% | 9% | . | 5% | 6% | 6% |
25–34 | 48% | 26% | 8% | . | 10% | 3% | 6% |
35–44 | 47% | 38% | 4% | 1% | 5% | . | 6% |
45–59 | 42% | 37% | 5% | . | 11% | 1% | 4% |
60+ | 37% | 45% | 6% | . | 5% | 3% | 4% |
AGE GROUP II | CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Someone Else | Don't Know | Wouldn't Vote | Refused Answer |
18–60 | 43% | 36% | 5% | 0% | 9% | 2% | 6% |
61+ | 37% | 45% | 6% | . | 5% | 3% | 4% |
SEX | CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Someone Else | Don't Know | Wouldn't Vote | Refused Answer |
Female | 41% | 37% | 4% | . | 10% | 2% | 5% |
Male | 40% | 43% | 7% | 0% | 4% | 2% | 4% |
HOUSEHOLD INCOME | CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Someone Else | Don't Know | Wouldn't Vote | Refused Answer |
> $150,000 | 40% | 47% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 2% | . |
$100,000 – $150,000 | 50% | 35% | 4% | . | 9% | . | 3% |
$60,000 – $100,000 | 41% | 45% | 5% | . | 5% | 2% | 2% |
$40,000 – $60,000 | 47% | 38% | 5% | . | 4% | 2% | 4% |
$20,000 – $40,000 | 41% | 42% | 6% | . | 6% | 1% | 5% |
< $20,000 | 51% | 23% | 10% | . | 8% | 5% | 4% |
Don't Know | 38% | 44% | . | . | 8% | 6% | 5% |
Refused Answer | 24% | 41% | 9% | . | 10% | 4% | 12% |
RELIGION | CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Someone Else | Don't Know | Wouldn't Vote | Refused Answer |
Other | 42% | 41% | 5% | . | 3% | . | 8% |
No Affiliation | 49% | 23% | 9% | . | 11% | 4% | 4% |
Muslim | 100% | . | . | . | . | . | . |
Jewish | 61% | 17% | . | 3% | 7% | 12% | . |
Mormon | . | 100% | . | . | . | . | . |
Catholic | 37% | 44% | 6% | . | 8% | 0% | 6% |
Protestant | 36% | 50% | 5% | . | 6% | 2% | 2% |
Don't Know | 100% | . | . | . | . | . | . |
Refused Answer | 36% | 19% | 7% | . | 6% | . | 31% |
VOTING METHOD | CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Someone Else | Don't Know | Wouldn't Vote | Refused Answer |
Haven't Decided Yet | 45% | 35% | 6% | . | 9% | 2% | 4% |
Absentee Ballot | 43% | 38% | 7% | . | 4% | 3% | 5% |
Early Voting | 45% | 32% | 5% | 1% | 11% | . | 6% |
On Election Day | 36% | 45% | 5% | . | 7% | 2% | 4% |
Not Planning to Vote | . | . | 100% | . | . | . | . |
Don't Know | 34% | 18% | 18% | . | . | . | 30% |
Refused Answer | 38% | 62% | . | . | . | . | . |
How much enthusiasm do you have about voting for this candidate?
(Asked only of those who would vote for Scott, Crist or Wyllie.)
NONE | LITTLE | SOME | MUCH | A GREAT DEAL | Don't Know | Refused Answer | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ALL | 3% | 13% | 32% | 20% | 31% | 1% | 0% |
PARTY | NONE | LITTLE | SOME | MUCH | A GREAT DEAL | Don't Know | Refused Answer |
Democrats | 4% | 12% | 30% | 21% | 31% | 0% | . |
Republicans | 2% | 13% | 31% | 21% | 32% | 1% | 1% |
Other | . | . | 22% | . | 78% | . | . |
Independents | 4% | 14% | 40% | 16% | 25% | . | 1% |
MEDIA MARKET | NONE | LITTLE | SOME | MUCH | A GREAT DEAL | Don't Know | Refused Answer |
Fort Myers | . | 12% | 24% | 21% | 39% | 3% | . |
Jacksonville | 3% | 6% | 32% | 26% | 32% | . | . |
Miami | 3% | 14% | 32% | 20% | 30% | 1% | . |
Orlando | 4% | 10% | 35% | 18% | 32% | 1% | 1% |
Other | 2% | 9% | 34% | 23% | 32% | . | . |
Pensacola | . | 15% | 42% | 23% | 19% | . | . |
Tampa Bay | 6% | 15% | 28% | 20% | 31% | . | 1% |
West Palm Beach | 2% | 18% | 36% | 20% | 24% | . | . |
RACE | NONE | LITTLE | SOME | MUCH | A GREAT DEAL | Don't Know | Refused Answer |
Other | 4% | 15% | 29% | 13% | 36% | 2% | . |
Black | 7% | 4% | 24% | 21% | 43% | . | . |
White | 3% | 14% | 33% | 21% | 28% | 0% | 0% |
HISPANIC | NONE | LITTLE | SOME | MUCH | A GREAT DEAL | Don't Know | Refused Answer |
No | 3% | 12% | 33% | 20% | 31% | 1% | 0% |
Yes | 3% | 19% | 26% | 26% | 26% | . | . |
Don't Know | 36% | . | 28% | . | 36% | . | . |
Refused Answer | 10% | 11% | 10% | . | 68% | . | . |
GEOGRAPHIC AREA | NONE | LITTLE | SOME | MUCH | A GREAT DEAL | Don't Know | Refused Answer |
South | 4% | 15% | 30% | 20% | 31% | 1% | 0% |
North | 3% | 10% | 35% | 21% | 31% | 0% | 0% |
Don't Know/Refused | . | . | 41% | 30% | 30% | . | . |
AGE GROUP | NONE | LITTLE | SOME | MUCH | A GREAT DEAL | Don't Know | Refused Answer |
18–24 | . | 7% | 44% | 19% | 23% | 5% | 3% |
25–34 | 10% | 20% | 28% | 15% | 28% | . | . |
35–44 | 3% | 18% | 31% | 23% | 25% | . | 1% |
45–59 | 2% | 13% | 35% | 19% | 33% | . | . |
60+ | 3% | 10% | 30% | 22% | 33% | 1% | 0% |
AGE GROUP II | NONE | LITTLE | SOME | MUCH | A GREAT DEAL | Don't Know | Refused Answer |
18–60 | 4% | 15% | 33% | 19% | 29% | 0% | 0% |
61+ | 3% | 11% | 31% | 21% | 33% | 1% | 0% |
SEX | NONE | LITTLE | SOME | MUCH | A GREAT DEAL | Don't Know | Refused Answer |
Female | 3% | 13% | 31% | 22% | 31% | . | 0% |
Male | 3% | 13% | 33% | 19% | 31% | 1% | 1% |
HOUSEHOLD INCOME | NONE | LITTLE | SOME | MUCH | A GREAT DEAL | Don't Know | Refused Answer |
> $150,000 | . | 8% | 36% | 23% | 31% | . | 2% |
$100,000 – $150,000 | . | 11% | 38% | 19% | 32% | . | . |
$60,000 – $100,000 | 3% | 15% | 28% | 24% | 30% | . | . |
$40,000 – $60,000 | 7% | 11% | 33% | 24% | 26% | . | . |
$20,000 – $40,000 | 8% | 11% | 34% | 14% | 32% | . | . |
< $20,000 | 3% | 18% | 20% | 23% | 34% | . | 2% |
Don't Know | . | 15% | 43% | 13% | 15% | 15% | . |
Refused Answer | 1% | 14% | 30% | 18% | 34% | 1% | 1% |
RELIGION | NONE | LITTLE | SOME | MUCH | A GREAT DEAL | Don't Know | Refused Answer |
Other | 3% | 13% | 22% | 26% | 35% | . | . |
No Affiliation | 8% | 22% | 39% | 14% | 17% | . | 1% |
Muslim | . | . | . | . | 100% | . | . |
Jewish | . | 16% | 34% | 25% | 22% | . | 3% |
Mormon | . | . | 25% | 38% | 38% | . | . |
Catholic | 1% | 14% | 26% | 20% | 38% | 1% | . |
Protestant | 4% | 8% | 34% | 22% | 31% | 1% | 0% |
Don't Know | . | 100% | . | . | . | . | . |
Refused Answer | . | 6% | 33% | 14% | 47% | . | . |
VOTING METHOD | NONE | LITTLE | SOME | MUCH | A GREAT DEAL | Don't Know | Refused Answer |
Haven't Decided Yet | 3% | 14% | 34% | 16% | 29% | 2% | 1% |
Absentee Ballot | 3% | 16% | 32% | 18% | 31% | . | 0% |
Early Voting | 4% | 9% | 24% | 32% | 30% | . | 1% |
On Election Day | 4% | 11% | 33% | 20% | 32% | 0% | . |
Not Planning to Vote | . | . | . | . | 100% | . | . |
Don't Know | . | 26% | 29% | 46% | . | . | . |
Refused Answer | . | . | 62% | . | 38% | . | . |
Regardless of how you plan to vote, who do you think will be elected governor?
CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Someone Else | Don't Know | Wouldn't Vote | Refused Answer | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ALL | 34% | 48% | 1% | 0% | 14% | 0% | 2% |
PARTY | CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Someone Else | Don't Know | Wouldn't Vote | Refused Answer |
Democrats | 55% | 27% | 1% | . | 16% | . | 1% |
Republicans | 13% | 74% | 0% | 0% | 11% | 1% | 1% |
Other | 16% | 41% | . | . | 16% | . | 26% |
Independents | 36% | 40% | 1% | . | 19% | . | 4% |
MEDIA MARKET | CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Someone Else | Don't Know | Wouldn't Vote | Refused Answer |
Fort Myers | 22% | 53% | . | . | 22% | . | 3% |
Jacksonville | 24% | 65% | . | . | 10% | . | 1% |
Miami | 51% | 34% | 1% | . | 12% | . | 2% |
Orlando | 34% | 52% | 1% | . | 11% | 1% | 1% |
Other | 29% | 53% | 1% | . | 17% | . | . |
Pensacola | 16% | 68% | . | . | 16% | . | . |
Tampa Bay | 37% | 45% | . | 0% | 16% | 0% | 1% |
West Palm Beach | 27% | 47% | 2% | . | 18% | . | 7% |
RACE | CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Someone Else | Don't Know | Wouldn't Vote | Refused Answer |
Other | 40% | 37% | 1% | . | 18% | . | 3% |
Black | 68% | 12% | 3% | . | 15% | . | 3% |
White | 29% | 54% | 0% | 0% | 14% | 0% | 2% |
HISPANIC | CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Someone Else | Don't Know | Wouldn't Vote | Refused Answer |
No | 34% | 49% | 1% | 0% | 14% | 0% | 2% |
Yes | 38% | 42% | . | . | 18% | . | 3% |
Don't Know | 16% | 50% | . | . | 34% | . | . |
Refused Answer | 39% | 29% | . | . | 32% | . | . |
GEOGRAPHIC AREA | CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Someone Else | Don't Know | Wouldn't Vote | Refused Answer |
South | 38% | 43% | 1% | 0% | 15% | 0% | 3% |
North | 29% | 57% | 1% | . | 12% | 1% | 1% |
Don't Know/Refused | 31% | 23% | . | . | 46% | . | . |
AGE GROUP | CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Someone Else | Don't Know | Wouldn't Vote | Refused Answer |
18–24 | 27% | 67% | . | . | 5% | . | . |
25–34 | 47% | 39% | . | . | 13% | . | 2% |
35–44 | 40% | 43% | 1% | 1% | 12% | 1% | 3% |
45–59 | 35% | 46% | 1% | . | 15% | 0% | 2% |
60+ | 30% | 52% | 1% | . | 16% | 0% | 1% |
AGE GROUP II | CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Someone Else | Don't Know | Wouldn't Vote | Refused Answer |
18–60 | 38% | 46% | 1% | 0% | 13% | 0% | 2% |
61+ | 30% | 52% | 1% | . | 16% | 0% | 1% |
SEX | CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Someone Else | Don't Know | Wouldn't Vote | Refused Answer |
Female | 37% | 42% | 1% | . | 19% | 0% | 2% |
Male | 31% | 55% | 1% | 0% | 10% | 0% | 2% |
HOUSEHOLD INCOME | CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Someone Else | Don't Know | Wouldn't Vote | Refused Answer |
> $150,000 | 28% | 57% | . | 2% | 13% | . | . |
$100,000 – $150,000 | 38% | 45% | 1% | . | 12% | 1% | 3% |
$60,000 – $100,000 | 30% | 59% | 0% | . | 11% | . | . |
$40,000 – $60,000 | 44% | 41% | . | . | 14% | . | 1% |
$20,000 – $40,000 | 36% | 49% | . | . | 11% | . | 4% |
< $20,000 | 50% | 30% | 4% | . | 16% | . | . |
Don't Know | 29% | 45% | . | . | 26% | . | . |
Refused Answer | 23% | 49% | 1% | . | 22% | 1% | 4% |
RELIGION | CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Someone Else | Don't Know | Wouldn't Vote | Refused Answer |
Other | 27% | 54% | 3% | . | 12% | . | 5% |
No Affiliation | 41% | 41% | 1% | . | 17% | . | . |
Muslim | . | . | . | . | 100% | . | . |
Jewish | 39% | 37% | . | 3% | 22% | . | . |
Mormon | . | 100% | . | . | . | . | . |
Catholic | 32% | 51% | 1% | . | 12% | 0% | 4% |
Protestant | 33% | 52% | 0% | . | 14% | 1% | 0% |
Don't Know | 100% | . | . | . | . | . | . |
Refused Answer | 46% | 22% | . | . | 22% | . | 10% |
VOTING METHOD | CRIST | SCOTT | WYLLIE | Someone Else | Don't Know | Wouldn't Vote | Refused Answer |
Haven't Decided Yet | 36% | 46% | . | . | 16% | . | 1% |
Absentee Ballot | 37% | 44% | 1% | . | 17% | 0% | 1% |
Early Voting | 38% | 39% | 1% | 1% | 19% | . | 2% |
On Election Day | 31% | 55% | 1% | . | 11% | 1% | 2% |
Not Planning to Vote | . | . | 100% | . | . | . | . |
Don't Know | 38% | 18% | . | . | 14% | . | 30% |
Refused Answer | 38% | 62% | . | . | . | . | . |
Does the phrase "understands the problems of people like me" describe Rick Scott?
NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
|
---|---|---|---|---|
ALL | 56% | 38% | 4% | 2% |
PARTY | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Democrats | 79% | 16% | 3% | 2% |
Republicans | 29% | 63% | 4% | 3% |
Other | 75% | 25% | . | . |
Independents | 64% | 30% | 3% | 2% |
MEDIA MARKET | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Fort Myers | 50% | 47% | 3% | . |
Jacksonville | 42% | 54% | 1% | 3% |
Miami | 70% | 26% | 3% | 1% |
Orlando | 55% | 37% | 6% | 2% |
Other | 48% | 47% | 3% | 3% |
Pensacola | 42% | 48% | 10% | . |
Tampa Bay | 57% | 36% | 3% | 4% |
West Palm Beach | 58% | 35% | 2% | 5% |
RACE | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Other | 63% | 27% | 5% | 5% |
Black | 77% | 17% | 4% | 2% |
White | 53% | 42% | 3% | 2% |
HISPANIC | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
No | 57% | 37% | 4% | 2% |
Yes | 49% | 45% | 3% | 2% |
Don't Know | 16% | 56% | 28% | . |
Refused Answer | 80% | 20% | . | . |
GEOGRAPHIC AREA | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
South | 61% | 34% | 3% | 3% |
North | 50% | 43% | 5% | 2% |
Don't Know/Refused | 31% | 46% | . | 23% |
AGE GROUP | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
18–24 | 48% | 47% | 3% | 2% |
25–34 | 71% | 24% | 2% | 3% |
35–44 | 61% | 34% | 2% | 3% |
45–59 | 60% | 38% | 2% | 1% |
60+ | 50% | 42% | 6% | 3% |
AGE GROUP II | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
18–60 | 61% | 35% | 2% | 2% |
61+ | 50% | 42% | 6% | 3% |
SEX | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Female | 58% | 35% | 3% | 4% |
Male | 54% | 41% | 4% | 1% |
HOUSEHOLD INCOME | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
> $150,000 | 48% | 51% | 2% | . |
$100,000 – $150,000 | 63% | 33% | 2% | 1% |
$60,000 – $100,000 | 58% | 40% | 2% | . |
$40,000 – $60,000 | 66% | 30% | 2% | 3% |
$20,000 – $40,000 | 54% | 40% | 3% | 4% |
< $20,000 | 64% | 32% | 4% | . |
Don't Know | 33% | 52% | 15% | . |
Refused Answer | 46% | 39% | 7% | 7% |
RELIGION | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Other | 62% | 36% | 1% | . |
No Affiliation | 77% | 20% | 1% | 2% |
Muslim | . | 100% | . | . |
Jewish | 74% | 20% | 7% | . |
Mormon | 25% | 75% | . | . |
Catholic | 48% | 45% | 5% | 3% |
Protestant | 48% | 45% | 5% | 2% |
Don't Know | 100% | . | . | . |
Refused Answer | 61% | 25% | . | 14% |
VOTING METHOD | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Haven't Decided Yet | 53% | 38% | 6% | 3% |
Absentee Ballot | 59% | 36% | 4% | 2% |
Early Voting | 59% | 33% | 2% | 5% |
On Election Day | 55% | 41% | 3% | 2% |
Not Planning to Vote | 100% | . | . | . |
Don't Know | 50% | 18% | 14% | 18% |
Refused Answer | 38% | . | 62% | . |
Does the phrase "provides leadership" describe Rick Scott?
NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
|
---|---|---|---|---|
ALL | 45% | 50% | 2% | 2% |
PARTY | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Democrats | 67% | 28% | 3% | 2% |
Republicans | 21% | 74% | 2% | 3% |
Other | 32% | 68% | . | . |
Independents | 51% | 44% | 4% | 1% |
MEDIA MARKET | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Fort Myers | 39% | 58% | 3% | . |
Jacksonville | 29% | 67% | . | 4% |
Miami | 58% | 37% | 5% | 1% |
Orlando | 45% | 51% | 2% | 2% |
Other | 38% | 56% | 4% | 3% |
Pensacola | 29% | 58% | 10% | 3% |
Tampa Bay | 49% | 48% | 1% | 2% |
West Palm Beach | 45% | 48% | 2% | 5% |
RACE | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Other | 51% | 42% | 3% | 4% |
Black | 68% | 26% | 3% | 3% |
White | 42% | 54% | 2% | 2% |
HISPANIC | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
No | 45% | 50% | 2% | 2% |
Yes | 47% | 44% | 7% | 2% |
Don't Know | 16% | 72% | 12% | . |
Refused Answer | 63% | 37% | . | . |
GEOGRAPHIC AREA | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
South | 50% | 45% | 2% | 2% |
North | 39% | 56% | 2% | 3% |
Don't Know/Refused | 31% | 69% | . | . |
AGE GROUP | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
18–24 | 41% | 56% | 3% | . |
25–34 | 60% | 37% | 2% | 1% |
35–44 | 47% | 50% | . | 2% |
45–59 | 45% | 53% | 0% | 2% |
60+ | 42% | 51% | 4% | 3% |
AGE GROUP II | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
18–60 | 48% | 49% | 1% | 2% |
61+ | 42% | 51% | 4% | 3% |
SEX | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Female | 47% | 47% | 2% | 3% |
Male | 44% | 53% | 3% | 1% |
HOUSEHOLD INCOME | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
> $150,000 | 38% | 59% | . | 2% |
$100,000 – $150,000 | 47% | 50% | 3% | . |
$60,000 – $100,000 | 43% | 55% | 2% | . |
$40,000 – $60,000 | 54% | 43% | 1% | 2% |
$20,000 – $40,000 | 45% | 50% | 2% | 2% |
< $20,000 | 58% | 39% | 2% | 1% |
Don't Know | 33% | 44% | 23% | . |
Refused Answer | 38% | 52% | 3% | 7% |
RELIGION | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Other | 49% | 50% | . | 1% |
No Affiliation | 63% | 35% | 1% | 1% |
Muslim | . | 100% | . | . |
Jewish | 56% | 40% | 4% | . |
Mormon | . | 100% | . | . |
Catholic | 37% | 58% | 3% | 2% |
Protestant | 40% | 54% | 3% | 3% |
Don't Know | 100% | . | . | . |
Refused Answer | 55% | 29% | . | 16% |
VOTING METHOD | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Haven't Decided Yet | 43% | 53% | 5% | . |
Absentee Ballot | 50% | 44% | 3% | 3% |
Early Voting | 49% | 45% | 1% | 5% |
On Election Day | 42% | 54% | 2% | 2% |
Not Planning to Vote | 100% | . | . | . |
Don't Know | 30% | 56% | 14% | . |
Refused Answer | 38% | 62% | . | . |
Does the phrase "honest and ethical" describe Rick Scott?
NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
|
---|---|---|---|---|
ALL | 59% | 32% | 6% | 3% |
PARTY | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Democrats | 77% | 17% | 4% | 2% |
Republicans | 36% | 52% | 7% | 4% |
Other | 75% | 25% | . | . |
Independents | 70% | 22% | 6% | 2% |
MEDIA MARKET | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Fort Myers | 47% | 47% | 3% | 3% |
Jacksonville | 46% | 47% | 4% | 4% |
Miami | 68% | 28% | 2% | 2% |
Orlando | 61% | 30% | 8% | 1% |
Other | 56% | 40% | 1% | 3% |
Pensacola | 48% | 39% | 13% | . |
Tampa Bay | 61% | 27% | 7% | 4% |
West Palm Beach | 60% | 28% | 7% | 5% |
RACE | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Other | 69% | 22% | 5% | 4% |
Black | 72% | 20% | 4% | 3% |
White | 56% | 35% | 6% | 3% |
HISPANIC | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
No | 60% | 32% | 6% | 3% |
Yes | 55% | 38% | 3% | 4% |
Don't Know | 32% | 52% | 16% | . |
Refused Answer | 72% | 20% | 8% | . |
GEOGRAPHIC AREA | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
South | 62% | 30% | 5% | 3% |
North | 56% | 36% | 6% | 2% |
Don't Know/Refused | . | 23% | 54% | 23% |
AGE GROUP | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
18–24 | 44% | 51% | 3% | 2% |
25–34 | 74% | 18% | 7% | 1% |
35–44 | 61% | 32% | 4% | 4% |
45–59 | 62% | 32% | 4% | 2% |
60+ | 54% | 35% | 7% | 3% |
AGE GROUP II | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
18–60 | 63% | 31% | 4% | 2% |
61+ | 55% | 35% | 7% | 3% |
SEX | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Female | 59% | 30% | 7% | 4% |
Male | 59% | 35% | 4% | 2% |
HOUSEHOLD INCOME | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
> $150,000 | 58% | 39% | 2% | 2% |
$100,000 – $150,000 | 64% | 30% | 5% | 1% |
$60,000 – $100,000 | 57% | 36% | 4% | 3% |
$40,000 – $60,000 | 70% | 26% | 1% | 3% |
$20,000 – $40,000 | 57% | 33% | 8% | 2% |
< $20,000 | 59% | 31% | 10% | . |
Don't Know | 38% | 46% | 16% | . |
Refused Answer | 54% | 32% | 7% | 6% |
RELIGION | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Other | 65% | 30% | 4% | 1% |
No Affiliation | 81% | 14% | 4% | 1% |
Muslim | . | 100% | . | . |
Jewish | 79% | 21% | . | . |
Mormon | 38% | 62% | . | . |
Catholic | 48% | 41% | 6% | 5% |
Protestant | 52% | 38% | 8% | 2% |
Don't Know | 100% | . | . | . |
Refused Answer | 65% | 19% | . | 16% |
VOTING METHOD | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Haven't Decided Yet | 55% | 36% | 6% | 3% |
Absentee Ballot | 61% | 31% | 5% | 3% |
Early Voting | 61% | 27% | 4% | 8% |
On Election Day | 59% | 34% | 6% | 1% |
Not Planning to Vote | 100% | . | . | . |
Don't Know | 68% | 18% | 14% | . |
Refused Answer | 38% | . | 62% | . |
In your opinion, does the phrase "understands the problems of people like me" describe Charlie Crist?
NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
|
---|---|---|---|---|
ALL | 50% | 45% | 3% | 2% |
PARTY | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Democrats | 31% | 65% | 2% | 2% |
Republicans | 73% | 22% | 3% | 2% |
Other | 25% | 75% | . | . |
Independents | 42% | 53% | 2% | 2% |
MEDIA MARKET | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Fort Myers | 58% | 39% | 3% | . |
Jacksonville | 63% | 35% | . | 1% |
Miami | 38% | 57% | 4% | 2% |
Orlando | 53% | 41% | 5% | 1% |
Other | 64% | 30% | 1% | 5% |
Pensacola | 65% | 29% | 6% | . |
Tampa Bay | 48% | 47% | 2% | 3% |
West Palm Beach | 40% | 57% | . | 3% |
RACE | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Other | 40% | 51% | 1% | 7% |
Black | 18% | 79% | 3% | 1% |
White | 55% | 40% | 3% | 2% |
HISPANIC | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
No | 51% | 45% | 3% | 2% |
Yes | 43% | 51% | 2% | 4% |
Don't Know | 46% | 32% | 22% | . |
Refused Answer | 51% | 49% | . | . |
GEOGRAPHIC AREA | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
South | 45% | 51% | 2% | 2% |
North | 58% | 37% | 3% | 1% |
Don't Know/Refused | 23% | 54% | . | 23% |
AGE GROUP | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
18–24 | 45% | 49% | 3% | 2% |
25–34 | 49% | 43% | 3% | 5% |
35–44 | 44% | 54% | 1% | 1% |
45–59 | 51% | 45% | 2% | 1% |
60+ | 52% | 43% | 3% | 2% |
AGE GROUP II | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
18–60 | 48% | 47% | 2% | 2% |
61+ | 52% | 42% | 3% | 2% |
SEX | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Female | 48% | 47% | 2% | 3% |
Male | 52% | 44% | 3% | 2% |
HOUSEHOLD INCOME | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
> $150,000 | 56% | 44% | . | . |
$100,000 – $150,000 | 44% | 51% | 2% | 2% |
$60,000 – $100,000 | 51% | 46% | 3% | . |
$40,000 – $60,000 | 48% | 49% | 1% | 2% |
$20,000 – $40,000 | 51% | 46% | 1% | 2% |
< $20,000 | 44% | 50% | 6% | . |
Don't Know | 33% | 56% | 11% | . |
Refused Answer | 56% | 34% | 5% | 6% |
RELIGION | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Other | 58% | 39% | 2% | . |
No Affiliation | 47% | 48% | 3% | 2% |
Muslim | . | 100% | . | . |
Jewish | 27% | 69% | 4% | . |
Mormon | 100% | . | . | . |
Catholic | 49% | 47% | 2% | 2% |
Protestant | 55% | 40% | 3% | 1% |
Don't Know | . | 100% | . | . |
Refused Answer | 13% | 65% | . | 23% |
VOTING METHOD | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Haven't Decided Yet | 41% | 52% | 6% | 1% |
Absentee Ballot | 51% | 45% | 2% | 3% |
Early Voting | 42% | 48% | 4% | 6% |
On Election Day | 55% | 43% | 1% | 1% |
Not Planning to Vote | . | 100% | . | . |
Don't Know | 18% | 50% | 14% | 18% |
Refused Answer | 62% | 38% | . | . |
Does the phrase "provides leadership" describe Charlie Crist?
NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
|
---|---|---|---|---|
ALL | 53% | 43% | 2% | 1% |
PARTY | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Democrats | 32% | 64% | 3% | 2% |
Republicans | 75% | 21% | 2% | 2% |
Other | 41% | 59% | . | . |
Independents | 50% | 47% | 2% | 1% |
MEDIA MARKET | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Fort Myers | 53% | 39% | 6% | 3% |
Jacksonville | 65% | 33% | 1% | 1% |
Miami | 39% | 58% | 2% | 1% |
Orlando | 57% | 40% | 3% | . |
Other | 69% | 25% | 4% | 3% |
Pensacola | 61% | 32% | 6% | . |
Tampa Bay | 51% | 46% | 1% | 2% |
West Palm Beach | 50% | 45% | 2% | 3% |
RACE | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Other | 43% | 52% | 2% | 4% |
Black | 21% | 75% | 3% | 1% |
White | 58% | 38% | 2% | 1% |
HISPANIC | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
No | 53% | 44% | 2% | 1% |
Yes | 49% | 44% | 4% | 2% |
Don't Know | 62% | 16% | . | 22% |
Refused Answer | 53% | 47% | . | . |
GEOGRAPHIC AREA | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
South | 48% | 48% | 2% | 2% |
North | 60% | 36% | 3% | 1% |
Don't Know/Refused | 23% | 54% | . | 23% |
AGE GROUP | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
18–24 | 47% | 48% | 3% | 2% |
25–34 | 45% | 51% | 3% | 1% |
35–44 | 50% | 49% | . | 1% |
45–59 | 58% | 40% | 1% | 1% |
60+ | 53% | 41% | 3% | 2% |
AGE GROUP II | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
18–60 | 52% | 45% | 1% | 1% |
61+ | 53% | 42% | 4% | 2% |
SEX | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Female | 50% | 46% | 2% | 2% |
Male | 56% | 41% | 3% | 1% |
HOUSEHOLD INCOME | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
> $150,000 | 51% | 47% | 2% | . |
$100,000 – $150,000 | 47% | 51% | 2% | . |
$60,000 – $100,000 | 60% | 39% | 1% | . |
$40,000 – $60,000 | 43% | 55% | . | 1% |
$20,000 – $40,000 | 50% | 47% | . | 2% |
< $20,000 | 48% | 49% | 3% | . |
Don't Know | 46% | 26% | 28% | . |
Refused Answer | 62% | 28% | 5% | 5% |
RELIGION | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Other | 61% | 38% | 1% | . |
No Affiliation | 52% | 46% | 2% | 0% |
Muslim | . | 100% | . | . |
Jewish | 26% | 74% | . | . |
Mormon | 100% | . | . | . |
Catholic | 53% | 43% | 2% | 2% |
Protestant | 57% | 39% | 3% | 1% |
Don't Know | . | 100% | . | . |
Refused Answer | 20% | 64% | . | 16% |
VOTING METHOD | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Haven't Decided Yet | 45% | 49% | 4% | 2% |
Absentee Ballot | 53% | 43% | 3% | 1% |
Early Voting | 49% | 44% | 2% | 4% |
On Election Day | 56% | 41% | 2% | 1% |
Not Planning to Vote | 100% | . | . | . |
Don't Know | 18% | 68% | 14% | . |
Refused Answer | 62% | 38% | . | . |
Does the phrase "honest and ethical" describe Charlie Crist?
NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
|
---|---|---|---|---|
ALL | 58% | 34% | 5% | 3% |
PARTY | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Democrats | 39% | 53% | 5% | 2% |
Republicans | 78% | 14% | 5% | 3% |
Other | 84% | 16% | . | . |
Independents | 58% | 35% | 6% | 2% |
MEDIA MARKET | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Fort Myers | 67% | 33% | . | . |
Jacksonville | 66% | 25% | 5% | 4% |
Miami | 48% | 46% | 4% | 2% |
Orlando | 65% | 26% | 7% | 2% |
Other | 58% | 36% | 3% | 3% |
Pensacola | 58% | 35% | 6% | . |
Tampa Bay | 58% | 34% | 4% | 4% |
West Palm Beach | 53% | 33% | 10% | 3% |
RACE | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Other | 50% | 39% | 6% | 5% |
Black | 23% | 72% | 3% | 2% |
White | 64% | 28% | 5% | 2% |
HISPANIC | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
No | 59% | 34% | 5% | 2% |
Yes | 50% | 38% | 6% | 6% |
Don't Know | 72% | 28% | . | . |
Refused Answer | 60% | 40% | . | . |
GEOGRAPHIC AREA | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
South | 56% | 37% | 4% | 3% |
North | 63% | 29% | 6% | 2% |
Don't Know/Refused | 23% | 54% | . | 23% |
AGE GROUP | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
18–24 | 42% | 49% | 7% | 2% |
25–34 | 61% | 35% | 4% | 1% |
35–44 | 59% | 34% | 5% | 2% |
45–59 | 61% | 36% | 2% | 1% |
60+ | 58% | 31% | 7% | 4% |
AGE GROUP II | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
18–60 | 59% | 36% | 3% | 1% |
61+ | 58% | 31% | 7% | 4% |
SEX | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Female | 56% | 35% | 6% | 3% |
Male | 61% | 33% | 5% | 2% |
HOUSEHOLD INCOME | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
> $150,000 | 61% | 39% | . | . |
$100,000 – $150,000 | 56% | 39% | 4% | . |
$60,000 – $100,000 | 63% | 32% | 4% | 1% |
$40,000 – $60,000 | 53% | 37% | 5% | 4% |
$20,000 – $40,000 | 58% | 36% | 3% | 3% |
< $20,000 | 53% | 42% | 6% | . |
Don't Know | 32% | 40% | 27% | . |
Refused Answer | 65% | 22% | 7% | 6% |
RELIGION | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Other | 64% | 33% | 3% | . |
No Affiliation | 63% | 33% | 4% | . |
Muslim | . | 100% | . | . |
Jewish | 53% | 38% | 8% | . |
Mormon | 100% | . | . | . |
Catholic | 57% | 35% | 4% | 4% |
Protestant | 59% | 32% | 6% | 2% |
Don't Know | . | . | 100% | . |
Refused Answer | 20% | 58% | 6% | 16% |
VOTING METHOD | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Haven't Decided Yet | 49% | 42% | 5% | 3% |
Absentee Ballot | 60% | 33% | 5% | 2% |
Early Voting | 54% | 35% | 5% | 5% |
On Election Day | 62% | 32% | 5% | 2% |
Not Planning to Vote | 100% | . | . | . |
Don't Know | 36% | 50% | 14% | . |
Refused Answer | 62% | 38% | . | . |
In your opinion, does the phrase "understands the problems of people like me" describe Adrian Wyllie?
(Asked only of those voting for Wyllie.)
NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
|
---|---|---|---|---|
ALL | 12% | 70% | 16% | 2% |
PARTY | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Democrats | 26% | 60% | 14% | . |
Republicans | 5% | 77% | 18% | . |
Other | . | 100% | . | . |
Independents | 7% | 66% | 19% | 7% |
MEDIA MARKET | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Fort Myers | . | 50% | 50% | . |
Jacksonville | . | 50% | 50% | . |
Miami | 33% | 67% | . | . |
Orlando | 7% | 73% | 20% | . |
Other | . | 100% | . | . |
Tampa Bay | 14% | 71% | 7% | 7% |
West Palm Beach | . | 67% | 33% | . |
RACE | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Other | 25% | 50% | . | 25% |
Black | 100% | . | . | . |
White | 8% | 74% | 18% | . |
HISPANIC | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
No | 13% | 67% | 17% | 2% |
Yes | . | 100% | . | . |
GEOGRAPHIC AREA | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
South | 16% | 68% | 13% | 3% |
North | 5% | 73% | 22% | . |
AGE GROUP | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
18–24 | . | 73% | 27% | . |
25–34 | 20% | 54% | 13% | 13% |
35–44 | . | 100% | . | . |
45–59 | . | 76% | 24% | . |
60+ | 19% | 66% | 15% | . |
AGE GROUP II | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
18–60 | 6% | 74% | 17% | 4% |
61+ | 19% | 66% | 15% | . |
SEX | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Female | 21% | 62% | 11% | 5% |
Male | 6% | 74% | 19% | . |
HOUSEHOLD INCOME | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
RELIGION | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
VOTING METHOD | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
> $150,000 | . | 100% | . | . |
$100,000 – $150,000 | . | 67% | 33% | . |
$60,000 – $100,000 | . | 100% | . | . |
$40,000 – $60,000 | 23% | 45% | 32% | . |
$20,000 – $40,000 | 31% | 36% | 33% | . |
< $20,000 | 15% | 85% | . | . |
Refused Answer | 7% | 73% | 14% | 7% |
Other | . | 100% | . | . |
No Affiliation | 16% | 49% | 35% | . |
Catholic | 9% | 78% | 14% | . |
Protestant | 15% | 79% | 6% | . |
Refused Answer | . | 50% | . | 50% |
Haven't Decided Yet | 13% | 57% | 30% | . |
Absentee Ballot | 12% | 88% | . | . |
Early Voting | 29% | 52% | 19% | . |
On Election Day | 8% | 67% | 25% | . |
Not Planning to Vote | . | 100% | . | . |
Don't Know | . | . | . | 100% |
Does the phrase "provides leadership" describe Adrian Wyllie?
(Asked only of those voting for Wyllie.)
NO | YES | Don't Know | |
---|---|---|---|
ALL | 17% | 61% | 21% |
PARTY | NO | YES | Don't Know |
Democrats | 20% | 50% | 30% |
Republicans | 24% | 58% | 18% |
Other | . | 100% | . |
Independents | 7% | 73% | 19% |
MEDIA MARKET | NO | YES | Don't Know |
Fort Myers | . | 50% | 50% |
Jacksonville | . | 50% | 50% |
Miami | 33% | 67% | . |
Orlando | 27% | 53% | 20% |
Other | . | 100% | . |
Tampa Bay | . | 86% | 14% |
West Palm Beach | 33% | . | 67% |
RACE | NO | YES | Don't Know |
Other | . | 75% | 25% |
Black | 100% | . | . |
White | 16% | 62% | 22% |
HISPANIC | NO | YES | Don't Know |
No | 19% | 58% | 23% |
Yes | . | 100% | . |
GEOGRAPHIC AREA | NO | YES | Don't Know |
South | 15% | 64% | 21% |
North | 22% | 56% | 22% |
AGE GROUP | NO | YES | Don't Know |
18–24 | . | 73% | 27% |
25–34 | 41% | 46% | 13% |
35–44 | . | 65% | 35% |
45–59 | 10% | 66% | 24% |
60+ | 19% | 62% | 19% |
AGE GROUP II | NO | YES | Don't Know |
18–60 | 16% | 61% | 23% |
61+ | 19% | 62% | 19% |
SEX | NO | YES | Don't Know |
Female | 27% | 62% | 11% |
Male | 12% | 61% | 27% |
HOUSEHOLD INCOME | NO | YES | Don't Know |
> $150,000 | . | 100% | . |
$100,000 – $150,000 | . | 67% | 33% |
$60,000 – $100,000 | 42% | 58% | . |
$40,000 – $60,000 | 23% | 45% | 32% |
$20,000 – $40,000 | 19% | 36% | 45% |
< $20,000 | 15% | 60% | 24% |
Refused Answer | 7% | 79% | 14% |
RELIGION | NO | YES | Don't Know |
Other | 63% | 37% | . |
No Affiliation | 16% | 43% | 41% |
Catholic | 17% | 55% | 28% |
Protestant | 9% | 85% | 6% |
Refused Answer | . | 100% | . |
VOTING METHOD | NO | YES | Don't Know |
Haven't Decided Yet | 13% | 57% | 30% |
Absentee Ballot | 10% | 74% | 16% |
Early Voting | 48% | 33% | 19% |
On Election Day | 19% | 56% | 25% |
Not Planning to Vote | . | 100% | . |
Don't Know | . | 100% | . |
Does the phrase "honest and ethical" describe Adrian Wyllie?
(Asked only of those voting for Wyllie.)
NO | YES | Don't Know | |
---|---|---|---|
ALL | 15% | 66% | 19% |
PARTY | NO | YES | Don't Know |
Democrats | 20% | 56% | 24% |
Republicans | 14% | 64% | 23% |
Other | . | 100% | . |
Independents | 15% | 74% | 11% |
MEDIA MARKET | NO | YES | Don't Know |
Fort Myers | . | 50% | 50% |
Jacksonville | . | 50% | 50% |
Miami | 33% | 50% | 17% |
Orlando | 7% | 73% | 20% |
Other | . | 100% | . |
Tampa Bay | 14% | 79% | 7% |
West Palm Beach | 33% | 33% | 33% |
RACE | NO | YES | Don't Know |
Other | 25% | 75% | . |
Black | 100% | . | . |
White | 12% | 67% | 21% |
HISPANIC | NO | YES | Don't Know |
No | 17% | 66% | 17% |
Yes | . | 62% | 38% |
GEOGRAPHIC AREA | NO | YES | Don't Know |
South | 21% | 62% | 17% |
North | 5% | 73% | 22% |
AGE GROUP | NO | YES | Don't Know |
18–24 | . | 100% | . |
25–34 | 54% | 13% | 33% |
35–44 | . | 65% | 35% |
45–59 | 10% | 57% | 34% |
60+ | 11% | 81% | 8% |
AGE GROUP II | NO | YES | Don't Know |
18–60 | 19% | 52% | 29% |
61+ | 11% | 81% | 8% |
SEX | NO | YES | Don't Know |
Female | 21% | 62% | 16% |
Male | 12% | 68% | 21% |
HOUSEHOLD INCOME | NO | YES | Don't Know |
> $150,000 | . | 100% | . |
$100,000 – $150,000 | 24% | 43% | 33% |
$60,000 – $100,000 | 19% | 64% | 18% |
$40,000 – $60,000 | 23% | 45% | 32% |
$20,000 – $40,000 | 19% | 68% | 13% |
< $20,000 | 15% | 60% | 24% |
Refused Answer | 7% | 80% | 14% |
RELIGION | NO | YES | Don't Know |
Other | 39% | . | 61% |
No Affiliation | 10% | 62% | 28% |
Catholic | 17% | 69% | 14% |
Protestant | 9% | 85% | 6% |
Refused Answer | 50% | 50% | . |
VOTING METHOD | NO | YES | Don't Know |
Haven't Decided Yet | 13% | 70% | 17% |
Absentee Ballot | 10% | 71% | 19% |
Early Voting | 29% | 33% | 38% |
On Election Day | 13% | 70% | 16% |
Not Planning to Vote | . | 100% | . |
Don't Know | 100% | . | . |
Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way Rick Scott is handling his job as governor?
DISAPPROVE | APPROVE | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
|
---|---|---|---|---|
ALL | 49% | 44% | 4% | 3% |
PARTY | DISAPPROVE | APPROVE | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Democrats | 75% | 19% | 3% | 2% |
Republicans | 21% | 72% | 5% | 3% |
Other | 33% | 67% | . | . |
Independents | 57% | 36% | 3% | 4% |
MEDIA MARKET | DISAPPROVE | APPROVE | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Fort Myers | 42% | 53% | 6% | . |
Jacksonville | 34% | 59% | 3% | 4% |
Miami | 63% | 27% | 7% | 3% |
Orlando | 47% | 47% | 4% | 2% |
Other | 45% | 48% | 4% | 3% |
Pensacola | 39% | 55% | . | 6% |
Tampa Bay | 51% | 43% | 3% | 3% |
West Palm Beach | 50% | 43% | 3% | 3% |
RACE | DISAPPROVE | APPROVE | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Other | 56% | 35% | 6% | 3% |
Black | 84% | 10% | 3% | 4% |
White | 44% | 49% | 4% | 3% |
HISPANIC | DISAPPROVE | APPROVE | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
No | 50% | 44% | 3% | 2% |
Yes | 43% | 43% | 9% | 5% |
Don't Know | 16% | 66% | . | 18% |
Refused Answer | 71% | 29% | . | . |
GEOGRAPHIC AREA | DISAPPROVE | APPROVE | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
South | 54% | 39% | 4% | 3% |
North | 43% | 50% | 4% | 3% |
Don't Know/Refused | . | 69% | 31% | . |
AGE GROUP | DISAPPROVE | APPROVE | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
18–24 | 44% | 48% | 5% | 2% |
25–34 | 65% | 27% | 7% | . |
35–44 | 51% | 45% | 1% | 3% |
45–59 | 52% | 41% | 4% | 3% |
60+ | 44% | 49% | 4% | 3% |
AGE GROUP II | DISAPPROVE | APPROVE | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
18–60 | 54% | 40% | 4% | 2% |
61+ | 44% | 49% | 4% | 3% |
SEX | DISAPPROVE | APPROVE | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Female | 51% | 40% | 5% | 4% |
Male | 48% | 48% | 3% | 1% |
HOUSEHOLD INCOME | DISAPPROVE | APPROVE | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
> $150,000 | 47% | 48% | 3% | 2% |
$100,000 – $150,000 | 59% | 37% | 3% | . |
$60,000 – $100,000 | 48% | 48% | 3% | 2% |
$40,000 – $60,000 | 59% | 37% | 1% | 4% |
$20,000 – $40,000 | 46% | 47% | 4% | 3% |
< $20,000 | 60% | 32% | 7% | 1% |
Don't Know | 32% | 49% | 13% | 6% |
Refused Answer | 39% | 51% | 5% | 5% |
RELIGION | DISAPPROVE | APPROVE | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Other | 50% | 44% | 5% | 1% |
No Affiliation | 70% | 26% | 2% | 2% |
Muslim | . | 100% | . | . |
Jewish | 71% | 17% | 8% | 4% |
Mormon | . | 100% | . | . |
Catholic | 40% | 53% | 4% | 2% |
Protestant | 43% | 51% | 4% | 3% |
Don't Know | 100% | . | . | . |
Refused Answer | 55% | 25% | 6% | 14% |
VOTING METHOD | DISAPPROVE | APPROVE | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Haven't Decided Yet | 49% | 45% | 5% | 1% |
Absentee Ballot | 53% | 41% | 2% | 3% |
Early Voting | 53% | 36% | 6% | 5% |
On Election Day | 46% | 48% | 4% | 2% |
Not Planning to Vote | 100% | . | . | . |
Don't Know | 68% | 18% | 14% | . |
Refused Answer | 38% | 62% | . | . |
Thinking back to when Charlie Crist was Florida governor from 2007 to 2011, did you approve or disapprove of the way that he handled his job as governor?
DISAPPROVE | APPROVE | Did not live in Florida then | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
|
---|---|---|---|---|---|
ALL | 41% | 48% | 3% | 6% | 3% |
PARTY | DISAPPROVE | APPROVE | Did not live in Florida then | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Democrats | 27% | 61% | 2% | 7% | 3% |
Republicans | 56% | 34% | 2% | 5% | 3% |
Other | 41% | 43% | . | 16% | . |
Independents | 38% | 47% | 7% | 5% | 3% |
MEDIA MARKET | DISAPPROVE | APPROVE | Did not live in Florida then | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Fort Myers | 44% | 44% | 6% | 6% | . |
Jacksonville | 56% | 37% | 3% | 3% | 3% |
Miami | 29% | 60% | 1% | 7% | 3% |
Orlando | 44% | 43% | 4% | 8% | 2% |
Other | 44% | 43% | 3% | 5% | 5% |
Pensacola | 52% | 39% | 3% | 3% | 3% |
Tampa Bay | 42% | 44% | 5% | 6% | 4% |
West Palm Beach | 32% | 60% | . | 5% | 3% |
RACE | DISAPPROVE | APPROVE | Did not live in Florida then | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Other | 36% | 46% | 6% | 10% | 3% |
Black | 19% | 67% | 1% | 7% | 5% |
White | 44% | 45% | 3% | 5% | 3% |
HISPANIC | DISAPPROVE | APPROVE | Did not live in Florida then | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
No | 41% | 48% | 3% | 5% | 3% |
Yes | 40% | 45% | 1% | 8% | 6% |
Don't Know | 46% | 16% | 16% | 22% | . |
Refused Answer | 16% | 63% | . | 20% | . |
GEOGRAPHIC AREA | DISAPPROVE | APPROVE | Did not live in Florida then | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
South | 37% | 52% | 3% | 6% | 3% |
North | 47% | 41% | 3% | 6% | 2% |
Don't Know/Refused | 23% | 77% | . | . | . |
AGE GROUP | DISAPPROVE | APPROVE | Did not live in Florida then | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
18–24 | 47% | 42% | 3% | 5% | 2% |
25–34 | 41% | 40% | 5% | 11% | 2% |
35–44 | 41% | 51% | 1% | 3% | 4% |
45–59 | 40% | 53% | 1% | 4% | 2% |
60+ | 41% | 46% | 4% | 6% | 3% |
AGE GROUP II | DISAPPROVE | APPROVE | Did not live in Florida then | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
18–60 | 41% | 50% | 2% | 5% | 3% |
61+ | 41% | 45% | 4% | 6% | 3% |
SEX | DISAPPROVE | APPROVE | Did not live in Florida then | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Female | 38% | 47% | 4% | 7% | 4% |
Male | 44% | 48% | 3% | 4% | 2% |
HOUSEHOLD INCOME | DISAPPROVE | APPROVE | Did not live in Florida then | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
> $150,000 | 34% | 56% | 5% | 3% | 2% |
$100,000 – $150,000 | 42% | 52% | 2% | 3% | . |
$60,000 – $100,000 | 38% | 55% | 2% | 1% | 4% |
$40,000 – $60,000 | 39% | 48% | 6% | 4% | 4% |
$20,000 – $40,000 | 45% | 42% | 1% | 9% | 3% |
< $20,000 | 42% | 53% | 1% | 4% | . |
Don't Know | 31% | 31% | 5% | 33% | . |
Refused Answer | 45% | 37% | 4% | 10% | 5% |
RELIGION | DISAPPROVE | APPROVE | Did not live in Florida then | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Other | 49% | 43% | 4% | 1% | 2% |
No Affiliation | 45% | 45% | 3% | 6% | 1% |
Muslim | . | 100% | . | . | . |
Jewish | 22% | 76% | 3% | . | . |
Mormon | 38% | 62% | . | . | . |
Catholic | 41% | 45% | 4% | 8% | 3% |
Protestant | 41% | 47% | 3% | 6% | 3% |
Don't Know | . | 100% | . | . | . |
Refused Answer | 16% | 58% | . | 6% | 20% |
VOTING METHOD | DISAPPROVE | APPROVE | Did not live in Florida then | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Haven't Decided Yet | 38% | 47% | 6% | 8% | 1% |
Absentee Ballot | 39% | 47% | 4% | 6% | 3% |
Early Voting | 36% | 52% | . | 7% | 6% |
On Election Day | 44% | 47% | 2% | 5% | 2% |
Not Planning to Vote | 100% | . | . | . | . |
Don't Know | 56% | 44% | . | . | . |
Refused Answer | 62% | 38% | . | . | . |
Which of these best describes your opinion about Florida's economy?
Won't recover for a long time | Not recovering, but will soon | Recovering | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
|
---|---|---|---|---|---|
ALL | 25% | 27% | 47% | 1% | 0% |
PARTY | Won't recover for a long time | Not recovering, but will soon | Recovering | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Democrats | 28% | 30% | 40% | 1% | 0% |
Republicans | 23% | 22% | 52% | 1% | 1% |
Other | 25% | 43% | 32% | . | . |
Independents | 22% | 28% | 50% | 1% | . |
MEDIA MARKET | Won't recover for a long time | Not recovering, but will soon | Recovering | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Fort Myers | 19% | 31% | 50% | . | . |
Jacksonville | 20% | 27% | 53% | . | . |
Miami | 27% | 24% | 48% | 1% | . |
Orlando | 31% | 23% | 44% | 2% | 1% |
Other | 26% | 31% | 42% | 1% | . |
Pensacola | 16% | 39% | 42% | 3% | . |
Tampa Bay | 22% | 30% | 45% | 2% | 1% |
West Palm Beach | 27% | 23% | 50% | . | . |
RACE | Won't recover for a long time | Not recovering, but will soon | Recovering | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Other | 23% | 27% | 49% | 1% | . |
Black | 32% | 33% | 35% | . | . |
White | 24% | 26% | 48% | 1% | 0% |
HISPANIC | Won't recover for a long time | Not recovering, but will soon | Recovering | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
No | 24% | 27% | 47% | 1% | 0% |
Yes | 30% | 23% | 45% | 2% | . |
Don't Know | 32% | 12% | 56% | . | . |
Refused Answer | 36% | 16% | 48% | . | . |
GEOGRAPHIC AREA | Won't recover for a long time | Not recovering, but will soon | Recovering | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
South | 24% | 27% | 48% | 1% | 0% |
North | 26% | 27% | 46% | 1% | 0% |
Don't Know/Refused | 77% | 23% | . | . | . |
AGE GROUP | Won't recover for a long time | Not recovering, but will soon | Recovering | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
18–24 | 11% | 45% | 44% | . | . |
25–34 | 20% | 33% | 45% | 2% | . |
35–44 | 28% | 26% | 46% | . | . |
45–59 | 30% | 25% | 44% | 1% | . |
60+ | 24% | 24% | 49% | 2% | 1% |
AGE GROUP II | Won't recover for a long time | Not recovering, but will soon | Recovering | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
18–60 | 26% | 29% | 45% | 1% | . |
61+ | 25% | 24% | 49% | 2% | 1% |
SEX | Won't recover for a long time | Not recovering, but will soon | Recovering | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Female | 30% | 28% | 40% | 1% | 0% |
Male | 20% | 25% | 54% | 1% | 0% |
HOUSEHOLD INCOME | Won't recover for a long time | Not recovering, but will soon | Recovering | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
> $150,000 | 18% | 21% | 60% | . | 2% |
$100,000 – $150,000 | 10% | 30% | 60% | . | . |
$60,000 – $100,000 | 15% | 37% | 48% | . | . |
$40,000 – $60,000 | 28% | 25% | 45% | 1% | . |
$20,000 – $40,000 | 32% | 24% | 43% | . | 1% |
< $20,000 | 51% | 15% | 33% | 1% | . |
Don't Know | 23% | 28% | 44% | 5% | . |
Refused Answer | 31% | 23% | 42% | 4% | 1% |
RELIGION | Won't recover for a long time | Not recovering, but will soon | Recovering | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Other | 27% | 39% | 32% | 1% | . |
No Affiliation | 27% | 27% | 44% | 1% | 1% |
Muslim | . | . | 100% | . | . |
Jewish | 19% | 13% | 64% | 4% | . |
Mormon | 25% | . | 75% | . | . |
Catholic | 25% | 25% | 47% | 2% | 0% |
Protestant | 24% | 27% | 47% | 1% | . |
Don't Know | . | . | 100% | . | . |
Refused Answer | 31% | 12% | 57% | . | . |
VOTING METHOD | Won't recover for a long time | Not recovering, but will soon | Recovering | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Haven't Decided Yet | 28% | 31% | 41% | . | . |
Absentee Ballot | 24% | 27% | 47% | 1% | 0% |
Early Voting | 24% | 22% | 52% | 2% | . |
On Election Day | 25% | 27% | 47% | 1% | 1% |
Not Planning to Vote | . | . | 100% | . | . |
Don't Know | 48% | . | 52% | . | . |
Refused Answer | 38% | 62% | . | . | . |
Is the condition of Florida's economy something the governor can do a lot about, or is that beyond any governor's control?
Beyond any governor's control | Governor can do a lot about it | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
|
---|---|---|---|---|
ALL | 27% | 66% | 3% | 4% |
PARTY | Beyond any governor's control | Governor can do a lot about it | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Democrats | 27% | 65% | 5% | 4% |
Republicans | 27% | 67% | 3% | 4% |
Other | 43% | 57% | . | . |
Independents | 31% | 66% | 1% | 3% |
MEDIA MARKET | Beyond any governor's control | Governor can do a lot about it | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Fort Myers | 33% | 61% | 3% | 3% |
Jacksonville | 19% | 76% | 4% | 1% |
Miami | 17% | 78% | 4% | 1% |
Orlando | 26% | 66% | 3% | 5% |
Other | 39% | 55% | 3% | 4% |
Pensacola | 29% | 65% | 3% | 3% |
Tampa Bay | 34% | 58% | 2% | 6% |
West Palm Beach | 32% | 60% | 5% | 3% |
RACE | Beyond any governor's control | Governor can do a lot about it | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Other | 25% | 66% | 2% | 7% |
Black | 23% | 74% | 1% | 2% |
White | 28% | 65% | 4% | 3% |
HISPANIC | Beyond any governor's control | Governor can do a lot about it | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
No | 28% | 65% | 3% | 4% |
Yes | 18% | 76% | 3% | 2% |
Don't Know | 32% | 52% | . | 16% |
Refused Answer | 45% | 48% | . | 8% |
GEOGRAPHIC AREA | Beyond any governor's control | Governor can do a lot about it | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
South | 28% | 66% | 3% | 3% |
North | 27% | 66% | 3% | 4% |
Don't Know/Refused | 54% | 46% | . | . |
AGE GROUP | Beyond any governor's control | Governor can do a lot about it | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
18–24 | 27% | 73% | . | . |
25–34 | 28% | 68% | 3% | 2% |
35–44 | 30% | 65% | 3% | 3% |
45–59 | 29% | 64% | 4% | 2% |
60+ | 26% | 65% | 4% | 5% |
AGE GROUP II | Beyond any governor's control | Governor can do a lot about it | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
18–60 | 29% | 66% | 3% | 2% |
61+ | 26% | 66% | 4% | 5% |
SEX | Beyond any governor's control | Governor can do a lot about it | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Female | 27% | 65% | 4% | 4% |
Male | 28% | 66% | 3% | 3% |
HOUSEHOLD INCOME | Beyond any governor's control | Governor can do a lot about it | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
> $150,000 | 37% | 56% | 2% | 5% |
$100,000 – $150,000 | 39% | 59% | 2% | . |
$60,000 – $100,000 | 21% | 70% | 4% | 5% |
$40,000 – $60,000 | 30% | 65% | 2% | 3% |
$20,000 – $40,000 | 23% | 68% | 5% | 3% |
< $20,000 | 33% | 60% | 2% | 4% |
Don't Know | 19% | 70% | 11% | . |
Refused Answer | 23% | 69% | 4% | 5% |
RELIGION | Beyond any governor's control | Governor can do a lot about it | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Other | 26% | 69% | 3% | 1% |
No Affiliation | 32% | 60% | 3% | 4% |
Muslim | . | 100% | . | . |
Jewish | 25% | 63% | 8% | 4% |
Mormon | 25% | 75% | . | . |
Catholic | 23% | 73% | 1% | 3% |
Protestant | 28% | 63% | 4% | 5% |
Don't Know | . | 100% | . | . |
Refused Answer | 37% | 63% | . | . |
VOTING METHOD | Beyond any governor's control | Governor can do a lot about it | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Haven't Decided Yet | 22% | 71% | 5% | 3% |
Absentee Ballot | 25% | 67% | 4% | 5% |
Early Voting | 37% | 56% | 4% | 3% |
On Election Day | 28% | 66% | 2% | 3% |
Not Planning to Vote | . | 100% | . | . |
Don't Know | 38% | 62% | . | . |
Refused Answer | . | 38% | . | 62% |
Do you support federal immigration reform, including a pathway to citizenship?
NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
|
---|---|---|---|---|
ALL | 32% | 57% | 6% | 4% |
PARTY | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Democrats | 26% | 67% | 4% | 3% |
Republicans | 42% | 45% | 9% | 5% |
Other | 41% | 43% | 16% | . |
Independents | 23% | 65% | 5% | 7% |
MEDIA MARKET | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Fort Myers | 36% | 61% | 3% | . |
Jacksonville | 34% | 61% | 3% | 3% |
Miami | 23% | 67% | 4% | 7% |
Orlando | 37% | 49% | 9% | 5% |
Other | 40% | 48% | 10% | 1% |
Pensacola | 29% | 52% | 13% | 6% |
Tampa Bay | 28% | 61% | 7% | 4% |
West Palm Beach | 40% | 50% | 3% | 7% |
RACE | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Other | 24% | 59% | 9% | 7% |
Black | 16% | 76% | 2% | 5% |
White | 35% | 55% | 6% | 4% |
HISPANIC | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
No | 34% | 56% | 6% | 4% |
Yes | 18% | 73% | 3% | 6% |
Don't Know | 22% | 48% | 12% | 18% |
Refused Answer | 29% | 40% | 12% | 20% |
GEOGRAPHIC AREA | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
South | 30% | 61% | 5% | 5% |
North | 36% | 53% | 8% | 4% |
Don't Know/Refused | 54% | 23% | . | 23% |
AGE GROUP | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
18–24 | 21% | 59% | 15% | 5% |
25–34 | 26% | 62% | 8% | 4% |
35–44 | 32% | 61% | 4% | 3% |
45–59 | 28% | 60% | 7% | 5% |
60+ | 37% | 54% | 5% | 5% |
AGE GROUP II | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
18–60 | 29% | 60% | 7% | 4% |
61+ | 36% | 54% | 5% | 5% |
SEX | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Female | 30% | 56% | 9% | 6% |
Male | 35% | 59% | 3% | 3% |
HOUSEHOLD INCOME | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
> $150,000 | 26% | 65% | 3% | 6% |
$100,000 – $150,000 | 26% | 71% | 3% | . |
$60,000 – $100,000 | 31% | 61% | 5% | 4% |
$40,000 – $60,000 | 33% | 60% | 4% | 2% |
$20,000 – $40,000 | 36% | 54% | 7% | 3% |
< $20,000 | 29% | 63% | 8% | . |
Don't Know | 53% | 28% | 19% | . |
Refused Answer | 35% | 42% | 10% | 13% |
RELIGION | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Other | 32% | 54% | 10% | 4% |
No Affiliation | 24% | 72% | 3% | 1% |
Muslim | . | 100% | . | . |
Jewish | 30% | 65% | . | 4% |
Mormon | 62% | 38% | . | . |
Catholic | 36% | 52% | 8% | 5% |
Protestant | 35% | 54% | 7% | 4% |
Don't Know | . | 100% | . | . |
Refused Answer | 24% | 43% | 4% | 29% |
VOTING METHOD | NO | YES | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Haven't Decided Yet | 33% | 55% | 9% | 3% |
Absentee Ballot | 33% | 57% | 5% | 4% |
Early Voting | 24% | 58% | 10% | 8% |
On Election Day | 34% | 57% | 5% | 4% |
Not Planning to Vote | . | 100% | . | . |
Don't Know | . | 100% | . | . |
Refused Answer | 62% | 38% | . | . |
Do you favor or oppose increasing the minimum wage in Florida? Or haven't you thought much about this?
FAVOR | OPPOSE | Haven't thought much about it | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
|
---|---|---|---|---|---|
ALL | 57% | 27% | 14% | 1% | 1% |
PARTY | FAVOR | OPPOSE | Haven't thought much about it | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Democrats | 75% | 12% | 11% | 1% | 1% |
Republicans | 34% | 45% | 17% | 2% | 1% |
Other | 33% | 67% | . | . | . |
Independents | 69% | 17% | 13% | 1% | 1% |
MEDIA MARKET | FAVOR | OPPOSE | Haven't thought much about it | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Fort Myers | 50% | 25% | 19% | 3% | 3% |
Jacksonville | 44% | 43% | 13% | . | . |
Miami | 70% | 21% | 8% | . | 1% |
Orlando | 49% | 29% | 16% | 2% | 3% |
Other | 48% | 34% | 16% | 1% | 1% |
Pensacola | 58% | 26% | 16% | . | . |
Tampa Bay | 61% | 24% | 15% | 0% | 0% |
West Palm Beach | 62% | 23% | 13% | 2% | . |
RACE | FAVOR | OPPOSE | Haven't thought much about it | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Other | 67% | 18% | 11% | . | 3% |
Black | 89% | 3% | 8% | . | . |
White | 52% | 31% | 15% | 1% | 1% |
HISPANIC | FAVOR | OPPOSE | Haven't thought much about it | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
No | 55% | 29% | 14% | 1% | 1% |
Yes | 70% | 13% | 15% | . | 2% |
Don't Know | 62% | . | 22% | . | 16% |
Refused Answer | 63% | 8% | 29% | . | . |
GEOGRAPHIC AREA | FAVOR | OPPOSE | Haven't thought much about it | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
South | 63% | 23% | 13% | 1% | 0% |
North | 48% | 33% | 16% | 1% | 2% |
Don't Know/Refused | 23% | 23% | 54% | . | . |
AGE GROUP | FAVOR | OPPOSE | Haven't thought much about it | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
18–24 | 45% | 36% | 15% | . | 4% |
25–34 | 60% | 24% | 16% | . | . |
35–44 | 61% | 25% | 13% | 1% | 1% |
45–59 | 60% | 28% | 11% | 0% | 0% |
60+ | 54% | 27% | 15% | 2% | 2% |
AGE GROUP II | FAVOR | OPPOSE | Haven't thought much about it | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
18–60 | 59% | 27% | 13% | 0% | 1% |
61+ | 55% | 26% | 15% | 2% | 2% |
SEX | FAVOR | OPPOSE | Haven't thought much about it | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Female | 60% | 23% | 16% | 1% | 1% |
Male | 54% | 31% | 12% | 1% | 1% |
HOUSEHOLD INCOME | FAVOR | OPPOSE | Haven't thought much about it | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
> $150,000 | 47% | 40% | 9% | 3% | 2% |
$100,000 – $150,000 | 62% | 27% | 11% | 1% | . |
$60,000 – $100,000 | 58% | 27% | 12% | 1% | 1% |
$40,000 – $60,000 | 63% | 20% | 14% | 1% | 2% |
$20,000 – $40,000 | 67% | 19% | 13% | . | 1% |
< $20,000 | 61% | 18% | 19% | 1% | . |
Don't Know | 39% | 19% | 42% | . | . |
Refused Answer | 42% | 38% | 16% | 1% | 3% |
RELIGION | FAVOR | OPPOSE | Haven't thought much about it | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Other | 66% | 18% | 12% | 3% | 1% |
No Affiliation | 63% | 19% | 15% | 1% | 2% |
Muslim | 100% | . | . | . | . |
Jewish | 71% | 19% | 10% | . | . |
Mormon | 38% | 25% | 38% | . | . |
Catholic | 55% | 28% | 14% | 2% | 1% |
Protestant | 51% | 34% | 14% | 1% | 1% |
Don't Know | 100% | . | . | . | . |
Refused Answer | 56% | 20% | 18% | . | 6% |
VOTING METHOD | FAVOR | OPPOSE | Haven't thought much about it | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Haven't Decided Yet | 61% | 19% | 20% | . | . |
Absentee Ballot | 55% | 26% | 16% | 1% | 2% |
Early Voting | 61% | 25% | 13% | 1% | 1% |
On Election Day | 56% | 30% | 12% | 1% | 1% |
Not Planning to Vote | . | 100% | . | . | . |
Don't Know | 82% | 18% | . | . | . |
Refused Answer | . | 100% | . | . | . |
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president?
DISAPPROVE | APPROVE | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
|
---|---|---|---|---|
ALL | 56% | 38% | 3% | 3% |
PARTY | DISAPPROVE | APPROVE | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Democrats | 30% | 63% | 3% | 4% |
Republicans | 88% | 9% | 2% | 2% |
Other | 57% | 43% | . | . |
Independents | 46% | 47% | 5% | 3% |
MEDIA MARKET | DISAPPROVE | APPROVE | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Fort Myers | 61% | 31% | 3% | 6% |
Jacksonville | 68% | 29% | 1% | 1% |
Miami | 45% | 51% | 2% | 2% |
Orlando | 60% | 33% | 5% | 2% |
Other | 69% | 27% | 1% | 3% |
Pensacola | 55% | 39% | 6% | . |
Tampa Bay | 55% | 40% | 2% | 4% |
West Palm Beach | 53% | 40% | 2% | 5% |
RACE | DISAPPROVE | APPROVE | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Other | 42% | 40% | 8% | 10% |
Black | 5% | 87% | 3% | 5% |
White | 65% | 31% | 2% | 2% |
HISPANIC | DISAPPROVE | APPROVE | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
No | 57% | 38% | 3% | 2% |
Yes | 57% | 36% | 1% | 6% |
Don't Know | 50% | 34% | . | 16% |
Refused Answer | 33% | 43% | 16% | 8% |
GEOGRAPHIC AREA | DISAPPROVE | APPROVE | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
South | 52% | 43% | 2% | 3% |
North | 62% | 32% | 4% | 2% |
Don't Know/Refused | 54% | 23% | . | 23% |
AGE GROUP | DISAPPROVE | APPROVE | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
18–24 | 48% | 48% | . | 4% |
25–34 | 54% | 41% | 1% | 4% |
35–44 | 51% | 45% | 2% | 2% |
45–59 | 54% | 42% | 2% | 2% |
60+ | 61% | 32% | 4% | 3% |
AGE GROUP II | DISAPPROVE | APPROVE | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
18–60 | 53% | 43% | 2% | 3% |
61+ | 61% | 32% | 4% | 3% |
SEX | DISAPPROVE | APPROVE | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Female | 51% | 43% | 3% | 3% |
Male | 63% | 32% | 3% | 2% |
HOUSEHOLD INCOME | DISAPPROVE | APPROVE | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
> $150,000 | 61% | 39% | . | . |
$100,000 – $150,000 | 51% | 47% | 2% | . |
$60,000 – $100,000 | 59% | 37% | 3% | 1% |
$40,000 – $60,000 | 50% | 43% | 3% | 3% |
$20,000 – $40,000 | 54% | 40% | 1% | 5% |
< $20,000 | 48% | 48% | 4% | . |
Don't Know | 63% | 12% | 25% | . |
Refused Answer | 65% | 26% | 1% | 7% |
RELIGION | DISAPPROVE | APPROVE | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Other | 53% | 44% | 2% | 1% |
No Affiliation | 46% | 48% | 5% | 1% |
Muslim | . | 100% | . | . |
Jewish | 51% | 41% | 4% | 4% |
Mormon | 100% | . | . | . |
Catholic | 59% | 36% | 3% | 3% |
Protestant | 64% | 32% | 2% | 3% |
Don't Know | . | 100% | . | . |
Refused Answer | 32% | 49% | . | 20% |
VOTING METHOD | DISAPPROVE | APPROVE | Don't Know | Refused to Answer |
Haven't Decided Yet | 50% | 40% | 7% | 3% |
Absentee Ballot | 55% | 39% | 2% | 4% |
Early Voting | 52% | 42% | 2% | 4% |
On Election Day | 61% | 36% | 2% | 2% |
Not Planning to Vote | 100% | . | . | . |
Don't Know | 18% | 64% | . | 18% |
Refused Answer | 100% | . | . | . |
About the Poll
The telephone survey of 781 registered Florida voters — all likely to vote in the November election — was conducted Oct. 7–12 for the Tampa Bay Times, Bay News 9 and News 13 by the University of Florida's Bob Graham Center for Public Service and Bureau of Economic and Business Research.
The poll, which included respondents using land lines and cell phones, has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.2 percentage points. Results were weighted by age, party registration and media market, thus allowing the results to mirror the distribution in the Florida Voter File.
NOTE: Figures may not sum to 100 percent due to rounding.