After a busy start to the 2021 Atlantic hurricane season, things have gone quiet. But will that last?

What You Need To Know

  • No tropical system has formed in October

  • Systems can form in late October and November

  • Hurricane season concludes November 30

The 2021 campaign started out quickly, with Tropical Storm Ana forming in late May.

Things accelerated since then, with the 2021 season having 20 named storms, seven hurricanes and four major hurricanes. It is now tied for the third most active season in recorded history.

Additionally, the United States has seen its share of issues with tropical systems. Eight systems have made landfall in the US, stretching from Texas to Rhode Island.

Headlining these landfalls was Hurricane Ida, which slammed into the Louisiana coast as a Category 4 major hurricane on August 29.

But things have gone quiet in the tropical Atlantic. Victor was the last system to form, which developed on September 29.

Both Sam and Victor became remnant lows on October 5, and since then no tropical system has developed.

As the calendar now turns to late October, the question becomes is hurricane season over?

The answer is it's very possible.

Tropical systems can still form in late October and November, but there is a low chance of development.

Only five percent of all named storms formed in November.

However, since 1988, the month of November has seen 20 named storms.

Last year, two systems developed in November. Tropical storm Theta rolled across the eastern Atlantic, while Hurricane Iota became a major hurricane that eventually pushed into Central America.

There are some long-range indications of possible tropical activity in the Caribbean in the next couple of weeks. Outside of that, the threat of future development will likely remain low.

So while the 2021 hurricane season was a very active year, it is becoming likely that it will end on a quiet note.

The Atlantic hurricane season concludes on November 30.